Synergy in fertility forecasting: improving forecast accuracy through model averaging
Abstract Accuracy in fertility forecasting has proved challenging and warrants renewed attention. One way to improve accuracy is to combine the strengths of a set of existing models through model averaging. The model-averaged forecast is derived using empirical model weights that optimise forecast a...
| Main Authors: | , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
SpringerOpen
2020-09-01
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| Series: | Genus |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | http://link.springer.com/article/10.1186/s41118-020-00099-y |