An approach for tuning ensemble prediction systems

Reliable ensemble prediction systems (EPSs) are able to quantify the flow-dependent uncertainties in weather forecasts. In practice, achieving this target involves manual tuning of the amplitudes of the uncertainty representations. An algorithm is presented here, which estimates these amplitudes off...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Antti Solonen, Heikki Järvinen
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Taylor & Francis Group 2013-07-01
Series:Tellus: Series A, Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.tellusa.net/index.php/tellusa/article/download/20594/pdf_1