Penetrance estimates for <it>BRCA1 </it>and <it>BRCA2 </it>based on genetic testing in a Clinical Cancer Genetics service setting: Risks of breast/ovarian cancer quoted should reflect the cancer burden in the family

• Main Authors: Lalloo Fiona, Woodward Emma, Shenton Andrew, Evans D Gareth, Howell Anthony, Maher Eamonn R
• Format: Article
• Language: English
• Published: BMC 2008-05-01
• Series: BMC Cancer
• Online Access: http://www.biomedcentral.com/1471-2407/8/155

<p>Abstract</p> <p>Background</p> <p>The identification of a <it>BRCA1 </it>or <it>BRCA2 </it>mutation in familial breast cancer kindreds allows genetic testing of at risk relatives. However, considerable controversy exists regarding the cancer risks in women who test positive for the family mutation.</p> <p>Methods</p> <p>We reviewed 385 unrelated families (223 with <it>BRCA1 </it>and 162 with <it>BRCA2 </it>mutations) ascertained through two regional cancer genetics services. We estimated the penetrance for both breast and ovarian cancer in female mutation carriers (904 proven mutation carriers – 1442 females in total assumed to carry the mutation) and also assessed the effect on penetrance of mutation position and birth cohort.</p> <p>Results</p> <p>Breast cancer penetrance to 70 and to 80 years was 68% (95%CI 64.7–71.3%) and 79.5% (95%CI 75.5–83.5%) respectively for <it>BRCA1 </it>and 75% (95%CI 71.7–78.3%) and 88% (95%CI 85.3–91.7%) for <it>BRCA2</it>. Ovarian cancer risk to 70 and to 80 years was 60% (95%CI 65–71%) and 65% (95%CI 75–84%) for <it>BRCA1 </it>and 30% (95%CI 25.5–34.5%) and 37% (95%CI 31.5–42.5%) for <it>BRCA2</it>. These risks were borne out by a prospective study of cancer in the families and genetic testing of unaffected relatives. We also found evidence of a strong cohort effect with women born after 1940 having a cumulative risk of 22% for breast cancer by 40 years of age compared to 8% in women born before 1930 (p = 0.0005).</p> <p>Conclusion</p> <p>In high-risk families, selected in a genetics service setting, women who test positive for the familial <it>BRCA1/BRCA2 </it>mutation are likely to have cumulative breast cancer risks in keeping with the estimates obtained originally from large families. This is particularly true for women born after 1940.</p>