Modeling Provincial Covid-19 Epidemic Data Using an Adjusted Time-Dependent SIRD Model

In this paper, we develop a forecasting model for the spread of COVID-19 infection at a provincial (i.e., EU NUTS-3) level in Italy by using official data from the Italian Ministry of Health integrated with data extracted from daily official press conferences of regional authorities and local newspa...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Luisa Ferrari, Giuseppe Gerardi, Giancarlo Manzi, Alessandra Micheletti, Federica Nicolussi, Elia Biganzoli, Silvia Salini
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2021-06-01
Series:International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/1660-4601/18/12/6563