How Informative Are Interest Rate Survey-based Forecasts?

This paper studies the information content of survey-based predictions for the Brazilian short-term interest rate. We perform vector autoregression analysis to test for the dynamic relationship between market expectations of interest rates and spot interest rates, and a single regression forecasting...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Mateus A. Feitosa, Benjamin M. Tabak
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Associação Nacional de Pós-Graduação e Pesquisa em Administração (ANPAD) 2008-10-01
Series:BAR: Brazilian Administration Review
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.anpad.org.br/periodicos/arq_pdf/a_806.pdf