Estimating Trends in the Total Fertility Rate with Uncertainty Using Imperfect Data: Examples from West Africa

Estimating Trends in the Total Fertility Rate with Uncertainty Using Imperfect Data: Examples from West Africa

BACKGROUND Estimating the total fertility rate is challenging for many developing countries because of limited data and varying data quality. A standardized, reproducible approach to produce estimates that include an uncertainty assessment is desired. METHODS We develop a method to estimate and asse...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Leontine Alkema, Adrian Raftery, Patrick Gerland, Samuel J. Clark, Francois Pelletier
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research 2012-04-01
Series:Demographic Research
Subjects:
Bayesian inference
Demographic and Health Survey
local smoother
retrospective surveys
United Nations
variable selection
weighted likelihood bootstrap
Online Access:http://www.demographic-research.org/volumes/vol26/15/

Internet

http://www.demographic-research.org/volumes/vol26/15/

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