Simulating model uncertainty of subgrid-scale processes by sampling model errors at convective scales

<p>Ideally, perturbation schemes in ensemble forecasts should be based on the statistical properties of the model errors. Often, however, the statistical properties of these model errors are unknown. In practice, the perturbations are pragmatically modelled and tuned to maximize the skill of t...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: M. Van Ginderachter, D. Degrauwe, S. Vannitsem, P. Termonia
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Copernicus Publications 2020-04-01
Series:Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics
Online Access:https://www.nonlin-processes-geophys.net/27/187/2020/npg-27-187-2020.pdf