A History of Possible Futures: Multipath Forecasting of Social Breakdown, Recovery, and Resilience

Recent years have seen major political crises throughout the world, and foreign policy analysts nearly universally expect to see rising tensions within (and between) countries in the next 5–20 years. Being able to predict future crises and to assess the resilience of different countries to various s...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Peter Turchin, Nina Witoszek, Stefan Thurner, David Garcia, Roger Griffin, Daniel Hoyer, Atle Midttun, James Bennett, Knut Myrum Næss, Sergey Gavrilets
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: eScholarship Publishing, University of California 2018-12-01
Series:Cliodynamics
Online Access:https://escholarship.org/uc/item/0g05k07v