以Neftci model預測台灣熊市之研究

Optimal prediction model of cyclical downturns proposed by Neftci (1982) was widely used in application to predict turning points of different economies such as US, UK, Japan, and West Germany. I apply Neftci model to predict the occurrence of bear markets of Taiwan stock market by using exchange ra...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: 謝郁嫻, Hsieh,Yu Hsien
Language:英文
Published: 國立政治大學
Subjects:
Online Access:http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/cgi-bin/cdrfb3/gsweb.cgi?o=dstdcdr&i=sid=%22G0094351004%22.