A symbolic dynamics approach to volatility prediction

We consider the problem of predicting the direction of daily volatility changes in the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA). This is accomplished by quantizing a series of historic volatility changes into a symbolic stream over 2 or 4 symbols. We compare predictive performance of the classical fixed-...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Tino, Peter, Schittenkopf, Christian, Dorffner, Georg, Dockner, Engelbert J.
Format: Others
Language:en
Published: SFB Adaptive Information Systems and Modelling in Economics and Management Science, WU Vienna University of Economics and Business 1998
Subjects:
Online Access:http://epub.wu.ac.at/1142/1/document.pdf