Data-driven outbreak forecasting with a simple nonlinear growth model
Recent events have thrown the spotlight on infectious disease outbreak response. We developed a data-driven method, EpiGro, which can be applied to cumulative case reports to estimate the order of magnitude of the duration, peak and ultimate size of an ongoing outbreak. It is based on a surprisingly...
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| Language: | en |
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ELSEVIER SCIENCE BV
2016
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| Online Access: | http://hdl.handle.net/10150/622814 http://arizona.openrepository.com/arizona/handle/10150/622814 |