Real-time extraction of the Madden-Julian oscillation using empirical mode decomposition and statistical forecasting with VARMA and neural network models

A suite of real-time statistical forecast models of the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO), a large scale, quasi-periodic phenomenon and the dominant mode of variability in the tropics, is presented along with a novel approach to performing real-time intraseasonal data filtering. The study introduces t...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Love, Barnaby Stuart
Published: University of East Anglia 2008
Subjects:
Online Access:http://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.504851