Problems in Bayesian statistics relating to discontinuous phenomena, catastrophe theory and forecasting

The aim of this thesis is to generalise Bayesian Forecasting processes to models where normality assumptions are, not appropriate. In particular I develop models that can change their minds and I utilise Catastrophe Theory in their description. Under squared-error loss types of criteria the estimate...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Smith, J. Q.
Published: University of Warwick 1977
Subjects:
519
Online Access:http://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.528206