Applied probabilistic forecasting

In any actual forecast, the future evolution of the system is uncertain and the forecasting model is mathematically imperfect. Both, ontic uncertainties in the future (due to true stochasticity) and epistemic uncertainty of the model (reflecting structural imperfections) complicate the construction a...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Binter, Roman
Published: London School of Economics and Political Science (University of London) 2012
Subjects:
Online Access:http://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.571113