Limitations to seasonal weather prediction and crop forecasting due to nonlinearity and model inadequacy
This Thesis examines the main issues surrounding crop modelling by detailed studies of (i) multi-model ensemble forecasting using a simple dynamical system as a proxy for seasonal weather forecasting, (ii) probabilistic forecasts for crop models and (iii) an analysis of changes in US yield. The abil...
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London School of Economics and Political Science (University of London)
2015
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| Online Access: | http://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.668408 |