Prediction Markets: Theory and Applications
In this thesis I offer new results on how we can acquire, reward, and use accurate predictions of future events. Some of these results are entirely theoretical, improving our understanding of strictly proper scoring rules (Chapter 3), and expanding strict properness to include cost functions (Chapte...
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| Language: | en_US |
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Harvard University
2013
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| Online Access: | http://dissertations.umi.com/gsas.harvard:11174 http://nrs.harvard.edu/urn-3:HUL.InstRepos:11181140 |