Stock price fragility in an emerging market

• Main Author: Nairac, Jean-Michel
• Other Authors: Hendricks, Dieter
• Format: Dissertation
• Language: English
• Published: University of Cape Town 2014
• Subjects: Mathematical Finance
• Online Access: http://hdl.handle.net/11427/10728

Includes bibliographical references. === This research project examines stock price fragility, a measure developed by Greenwood and Thesmar (2011), which serves as a proxy for non-fundamental risk i.e. it aims to isolate the drivers of stock price volatility beyond traditional fundamental drivers, in particular examining the impact of concentrated stock ownership and correlated liquidity shocks on price volatility. Here, the measure is applied to the South African financial market. Subject to data complications, it is nevertheless shown that stock price fragility is a significant predictor of total return volatility owing to the ownership structure of South African funds, even when controlling for endogeneity, autocorrelation and heteroskedasticity in the model.