Evaluating Atlantic tropical cyclone track error distributions based on forecast confidence
A new Tropical Cyclone (TC) surface wind speed probability product from the National Hurricane Center (NHC) takes into account uncertainty in track, maximum wind speed, and wind radii. A Monte Carlo (MC) model is used that draws from probability distributions based on historic track errors. In thi...
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Monterey, California. Naval Postgraduate School
2012
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| Online Access: | http://hdl.handle.net/10945/2840 |