Adjusting Holt-Winters Exponential Smoothing for External Intervention: A Mathematical Technique for Making Quasi-Judgmental Adjustments For Anticipated Changes

Public administration data is sometimes extrapolated through exponential smoothing. Sometimes such data may undergo a level shift because of a policy decision. The slope of the curve formed by connecting the periodic observations increases or decreases significantly for a brief period, thereafter re...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Williams, Daniel Wayne
Format: Others
Published: VCU Scholars Compass 1994
Subjects:
Online Access:http://scholarscompass.vcu.edu/etd/5087
http://scholarscompass.vcu.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=6169&context=etd