Policy Implications of Statistical Estimates: A General Bayesian Decision-Theoretic Model for Binary Outcomes
How should we evaluate the effect of a policy on the likelihood of an undesirable event, such as conflict? The significance test has three limitations. First, relying on statistical significance misses the fact that uncertainty is a continuous scale. Second, focusing on a standard point estimate ove...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Taylor and Francis Ltd.
2022
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| Online Access: | View Fulltext in Publisher |