Option-Implied Equity Premium Predictions via Entropic Tilting
We propose a new method to improve density forecasts of the equity premium using information from options markets. We obtain predictive densities from stochastic volatility (SV) and GARCH models, which we then tilt using the second moment of the risk-neutral distribution implied by options prices wh...
| Main Authors: | , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Oxford University Press
2019
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| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | View Fulltext in Publisher |