Measuring the predictability of life outcomes with a scientific mass collaboration

How predictable are life trajectories? We investigated this question with a scientific mass collaboration using the common task method; 160 teams built predictive models for six life outcomes using data from the Fragile Families and Child Wellbeing Study, a high-quality birth cohort study. Despite u...

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Main Authors: Salganik, Matthew J. (Author), Lundberg, Ian (Author), Kindel, Alexander T. (Author), Ahearn, Caitlin E. (Author), Al-Ghoneim, Khaled (Author), Almaatouq, Abdullah (Author), Altschul, Drew M. (Author), Brand, Jennie E. (Author), Carnegie, Nicole Bohme (Author), Compton, Ryan James (Author), Datta, Debanjan (Author), Davidson, Thomas (Author), Filippova, Anna (Author), Gilroy, Connor (Author), Goode, Brian J. (Author), Jahani, Eaman (Author), Kashyap, Ridhi (Author), Kirchner, Antje (Author), McKay, Stephen (Author), Morgan, Allison C. (Author), Pentland, Alex (Author), Polimis, Kivan (Author), Raes, Louis (Author), Rigobon, Daniel E. (Author), Roberts, Claudia V. (Author), Stanescu, Diana M. (Author), Suhara, Yoshihiko (Author), Usmani, Adaner (Author), Wang, Erik H. (Author), Adem, Muna (Author), Alhajri, Abdulla (Author), AlShebli, Bedoor (Author), Amin, Redwane (Author), Amos, Ryan B. (Author), Argyle, Lisa P. (Author), Baer-Bositis, Livia (Author), Buchi, Moritz (Author), Chung, Bo-Ryehn (Author), Eggert, William (Author), Faletto, Gregory (Author), Fan, Zhilin (Author), Freese, Jeremy (Author), Gadgil, Tejomay (Author), Gagne ́, Josh (Author), Gao, Yue (Author), Halpern-Manners, Andrew (Author), Hashim, Sonia P. (Author), Hausen, Sonia (Author), He, Guanhua (Author), Higuera, Kimberly (Author), Hogan, Bernie (Author), Horwitz, Ilana M. (Author), Hummel, Lisa M. (Author), Jain, Naman (Author), Jin, Kun (Author), Jurgens, David (Author), Kaminski, Patrick (Author), Karapetyan, Areg (Author), Kim, E. H. (Author), Leizman, Ben (Author), Liu, Naijia (Author), Moser, Malte (Author), Mack, Andrew E. (Author), Mahajan, Mayank (Author), Mandell, Noah (Author), Marahrens, Helge (Author), Mercado-Garcia, Diana (Author), Mocz, Viola (Author), Mueller-Gastell, Katariina (Author), Musse, Ahmed (Author), Niu, Qiankun (Author), Nowak, William (Author), Omidvar, Hamidreza (Author), Or, Andrew (Author), Ouyang, Karen (Author), Pinto, Katy M. (Author), Porter, Ethan (Author), Porter, Kristin E. (Author), Qian, Crystal (Author), Rauf, Tamkinat (Author), Sargsyan, Anahit (Author), Schaffner, Thomas (Author), Schnabel, Landon (Author), Schonfeld, Bryan (Author), Sender, Ben (Author), Tang, Jonathan D. (Author), Tsurkov, Emma (Author), van Loon, Austin (Author), Varol, Onur (Author), Wang, Xiafei (Author), Wang, Zhi (Author), Wang, Julia (Author), Wang, Flora (Author), Weissman, Samantha (Author), Whitaker, Kirstie (Author), Wolters, Maria K. (Author), Woon, Wei Lee (Author), Wu, James (Author), Wu, Catherine (Author), Yang, Kengran (Author), Yin, Jingwen (Author), Zhao, Bingyu (Author), Zhu, Chenyun (Author), Brooks-Gunn, Jeanne (Author), Engelhardt, Barbara E. (Author), Hardt, Moritz (Author), Knox, Dean (Author), Levy, Karen (Author), Narayanan, Arvind (Author), Stewart, Brandon M. (Author), Watts, Duncan J. (Author), McLanahan, Sara (Author)
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 2021-03-30T18:11:55Z.
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